Main
Women's Bantamweight
Germaine de Randamie vs Aspen Ladd
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
·Golden 1 Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Germaine de Randamie
Aspen Ladd
34%
66%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
66"
35
Age
Δ 11y
24
11-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
10-3
W4
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
de Randamie: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Ladd: 0 sig / 0 TD
Germaine de Randamie
Aspen Ladd
33
Sig strikes landed
37
73
Sig strikes attempted
70
55
Total strikes landed
61
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
99s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
Blue corner
W3
Aspen Ladd
10-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—