Prelims1
Bantamweight
Benito Lopez vs Vince Morales
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
·Golden 1 Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Benito Lopez
Vince Morales
68%
32%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
25
Age
Δ 3y
29
10-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
17-11
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lopez: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Morales: 64 sig / 0 TD
Benito Lopez
Vince Morales
62
Sig strikes landed
57
141
Sig strikes attempted
133
70
Total strikes landed
67
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
55s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Benito Lopez
"Golden Boy"
10-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
W1
Vince Morales
"Vandetta"
17-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—