Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alejandro Perez
Song Yadong
37%
63%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
30
Age
Δ 8y
22
23-10-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
24-9-1
L1
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Perez: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Yadong: 8 sig / 0 TD
Alejandro Perez
Song Yadong
38
Sig strikes landed
43
100
Sig strikes attempted
114
44
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
67s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alejandro Perez
"Turbo"
23-10-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
10 fights · 7-2
Last 5
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
Blue corner
W3
Song Yadong
"Kung Fu Kid"
24-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—