Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Claudia Gadelha vs Randa Markos
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Claudia Gadelha
Randa Markos
87%
13%
Why
64"
Reach
64"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
18-6
Career record
Δ 27 pp
12-12-1
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gadelha: 40 sig / 0 TD ·
Markos: 25 sig / 0 TD
Claudia Gadelha
Randa Markos
57
Sig strikes landed
38
121
Sig strikes attempted
101
96
Total strikes landed
74
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.6
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
272s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Claudia Gadelha
"Claudinha"
18-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
Blue corner
W1
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
12-12-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—