🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Amanda Nunes vs Holly Holm
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Holly Holm
87%
13%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
31
Age
Δ 7y
38
24-5
Career record
Δ 13 pp
16-7
W8
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nunes: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Holm: 11 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Nunes
Holly Holm
66
Sig strikes landed
39
132
Sig strikes attempted
112
101
Total strikes landed
55
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
126s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
11 fights · 10-1
Last 5
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
Blue corner
W1
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—