Main
Lightweight
Roosevelt Roberts vs Vinc Pichel
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
·Target Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Roosevelt Roberts
Vinc Pichel
70%
30%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
25
Age
Δ 11y
37
13-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-6
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Roberts: 31 sig / 2 TD ·
Pichel: 60 sig / 3 TD
Roosevelt Roberts
Vinc Pichel
34
Sig strikes landed
22
73
Sig strikes attempted
48
53
Total strikes landed
39
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.8
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
139s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Roosevelt Roberts
"The Predator"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
L1
Vinc Pichel
"From Hell"
14-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—