Back to UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Main Flyweight

Jussier Formiga vs Joseph Benavidez

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos ·Target Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jussier Formiga
Joseph Benavidez
47% 53%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
24-8
Career record
Δ 3 pp
29-8
W4
Current streak
W2
13
UFC fights in our DB
17

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Formiga: 15 sig / 1 TD · Benavidez: 50 sig / 0 TD
Jussier Formiga
Joseph Benavidez
31
Sig strikes landed
35
77
Sig strikes attempted
93
43
Total strikes landed
54
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Jussier Formiga

24-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
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W UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W2

Joseph Benavidez

29-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database 17 fights · 14-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
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L UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—