Main
Middleweight
Kevin Holland vs Alessio Di Chirico
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
·Bon Secours Wellness Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kevin Holland
Alessio Di Chirico
82%
18%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 7"
74"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
30-15
Career record
Δ 0 pp
14-7
W2
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holland: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Di Chirico: 51 sig / 2 TD
Kevin Holland
Alessio Di Chirico
50
Sig strikes landed
33
97
Sig strikes attempted
81
82
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.1
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
108s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
30-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
Blue corner
W2
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
14-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—