Main
Women's Flyweight
Andrea Lee vs Montana De La Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
·Bon Secours Wellness Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Andrea Lee
Montana De La Rosa
45%
55%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
14-11
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-9-1
W2
Current streak
W3
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lee: 73 sig / 1 TD ·
De La Rosa: 14 sig / 5 TD
Andrea Lee
Montana De La Rosa
46
Sig strikes landed
40
95
Sig strikes attempted
101
60
Total strikes landed
73
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
119s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
14-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
Blue corner
W3
Montana De La Rosa
14-9-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—