Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Darko Stosic vs Devin Clark
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Darko Stosic
Devin Clark
68%
32%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
14-4
Career record
Δ 19 pp
14-10
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stosic: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Clark: 40 sig / 2 TD
Darko Stosic
Devin Clark
23
Sig strikes landed
19
40
Sig strikes attempted
36
37
Total strikes landed
35
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Darko Stosic
14-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
Blue corner
L1
Devin Clark
"Brown Bear"
14-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—