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Jimi Manuwa vs Aleksandar Rakic

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jimi Manuwa
Aleksandar Rakic
40% 60%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
39
Age
Δ 12y
27
17-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
15-6
L3
Current streak
W3
11
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Manuwa: 2 sig / 0 TD · Rakic: 2 sig / 0 TD
Jimi Manuwa
Aleksandar Rakic
28
Sig strikes landed
36
70
Sig strikes attempted
78
39
Total strikes landed
56
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
68s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Jimi Manuwa

"Poster Boy"
17-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
L UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
L UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
W UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
W UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Blue corner
W3

Aleksandar Rakic

"Rocket"
15-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
W UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…