Main
Featherweight
Makwan Amirkhani vs Chris Fishgold
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Makwan Amirkhani
Chris Fishgold
40%
60%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
18-9
Career record
Δ 12 pp
19-4-1
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Amirkhani: 9 sig / 1 TD ·
Fishgold: 16 sig / 0 TD
Makwan Amirkhani
Chris Fishgold
27
Sig strikes landed
19
52
Sig strikes attempted
52
43
Total strikes landed
38
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
165s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
18-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
Blue corner
W1
Chris Fishgold
19-4-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—