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Prelims1 Lightweight

Nick Hein vs Frank Camacho

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith ·Ericsson Globe
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Nick Hein
Frank Camacho
37% 63%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
35
Age
Δ 5y
30
14-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
22-11
L2
Current streak
L2
7
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hein: 37 sig / 1 TD · Camacho: 100 sig / 0 TD
Nick Hein
Frank Camacho
49
Sig strikes landed
57
124
Sig strikes attempted
117
74
Total strikes landed
78
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Nick Hein

"Sergeant"
14-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
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L UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
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W UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
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W UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
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W UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
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Blue corner
L2

Frank Camacho

"The Crank"
22-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
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L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
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W UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
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