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Damir Hadzovic vs Christos Giagos

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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Damir Hadzovic
Christos Giagos
49% 51%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
33
Age
Δ 3y
29
15-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
21-12
W2
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hadzovic: 24 sig / 1 TD · Giagos: 47 sig / 6 TD
Damir Hadzovic
Christos Giagos
30
Sig strikes landed
31
64
Sig strikes attempted
75
44
Total strikes landed
48
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.9
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
50s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Damir Hadzovic

"The Bosnian Bomber"
15-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
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L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
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Blue corner
W1

Christos Giagos

"The Spartan"
21-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
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L UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
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W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
L UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—