Main
Welterweight
Vicente Luque vs Derrick Krantz
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee
·Blue Cross Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Derrick Krantz
70%
30%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
28
Age
Δ 4y
31
W4
Current streak
—
10
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Luque: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Krantz: 6 sig / 1 TD
Vicente Luque
Derrick Krantz
49
Sig strikes landed
36
104
Sig strikes attempted
73
61
Total strikes landed
51
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
112s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
25-12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
Blue corner
Derrick Krantz
"D-Rock"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31