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Main Women's Featherweight

Megan Anderson vs Felicia Spencer

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Megan Anderson
Felicia Spencer
58% 42%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
W1
Current streak
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Anderson: 3 sig / 0 TD · Spencer: 22 sig / 1 TD
Megan Anderson
Felicia Spencer
32
Sig strikes landed
29
71
Sig strikes attempted
55
48
Total strikes landed
62
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
104s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
39%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Megan Anderson

12-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
L UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Blue corner

Felicia Spencer

"FeeNom"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29