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Prelims1 Middleweight

Zak Cummings vs Trevin Giles

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Zak Cummings
Trevin Giles
59% 41%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
26-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
17-7
W1
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Cummings: 34 sig / 0 TD · Giles: 31 sig / 0 TD
Zak Cummings
Trevin Giles
30
Sig strikes landed
41
81
Sig strikes attempted
92
49
Total strikes landed
58
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
123s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Zak Cummings

26-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database 10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
W UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
W UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
Blue corner
W2

Trevin Giles

17-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
W UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker