Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Bevon Lewis
Darren Stewart
59%
41%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
7-4
Career record
Δ 6 pp
12-9
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lewis: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Stewart: 30 sig / 0 TD
Bevon Lewis
Darren Stewart
39
Sig strikes landed
48
97
Sig strikes attempted
101
57
Total strikes landed
63
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
99s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bevon Lewis
7-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Darren Stewart
"The Dentist"
12-9
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—