Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Eddie Wineland
Grigory Popov
49%
51%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
35
Age
Δ 0y
35
L2
Current streak
—
12
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Wineland: 74 sig / 0 TD ·
Popov: 55 sig / 0 TD
Eddie Wineland
Grigory Popov
45
Sig strikes landed
43
103
Sig strikes attempted
103
58
Total strikes landed
53
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.60
Knockdowns
0.30
77s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Eddie Wineland
24-17-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 5-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
Blue corner
Grigory Popov
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
35