Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yan Xiaonan
Angela Hill
83%
17%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34
20-5
Career record
Δ 24 pp
20-16
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Xiaonan: 94 sig / 1 TD ·
Hill: 71 sig / 1 TD
Yan Xiaonan
Angela Hill
102
Sig strikes landed
81
246
Sig strikes attempted
185
115
Total strikes landed
94
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
103s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Yan Xiaonan
20-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W1
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
20-16
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—