Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Katlyn Cerminara vs Joanne Wood
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
·United Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Katlyn Cerminara
Joanne Wood
60%
40%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
30
Age
Δ 3y
34
18-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
18-8
L1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cerminara: 82 sig / 0 TD ·
Wood: 112 sig / 3 TD
Katlyn Cerminara
Joanne Wood
67
Sig strikes landed
72
173
Sig strikes attempted
156
85
Total strikes landed
92
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
62s
Control time
189s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
Blue corner
W2
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
18-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
L
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—