Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jimmie Rivera
Petr Yan
54%
46%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
23-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
21-5
L1
Current streak
W4
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rivera: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Yan: 56 sig / 1 TD
Jimmie Rivera
Petr Yan
54
Sig strikes landed
56
134
Sig strikes attempted
127
65
Total strikes landed
74
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
77s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
23-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
Blue corner
W4
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
21-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—