Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tai Tuivasa
Blagoy Ivanov
58%
42%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
15-11
Career record
Δ 19 pp
20-6
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tuivasa: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Ivanov: 73 sig / 2 TD
Tai Tuivasa
Blagoy Ivanov
48
Sig strikes landed
41
115
Sig strikes attempted
116
59
Total strikes landed
60
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
0.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
39s
Control time
57s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15-11
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
W
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
Blue corner
W1
Blagoy Ivanov
"Baga"
20-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—