🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Eye
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
·United Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Jessica Eye
93%
7%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
27-4-1
Career record
Δ 25 pp
16-11
W2
Current streak
W3
7
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Shevchenko: 8 sig / 2 TD ·
Eye: 2 sig / 0 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Jessica Eye
75
Sig strikes landed
45
142
Sig strikes attempted
122
118
Total strikes landed
68
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
256s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
Blue corner
W3
Jessica Eye
"Evil"
16-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 4-5
Last 5
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—