Back to UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Main Women's Bantamweight

Irene Aldana vs Bethe Correia

UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade ·Farmasi Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Irene Aldana
Bethe Correia
71% 29%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
31
Age
Δ 5y
36
16-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-7-1
W2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
8

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Aldana: 83 sig / 0 TD · Correia: 81 sig / 0 TD
Irene Aldana
Bethe Correia
91
Sig strikes landed
68
212
Sig strikes attempted
158
106
Total strikes landed
85
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.6
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
98s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Irene Aldana

16-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
Blue corner
L1

Bethe Correia

"Pitbull"
11-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
D UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
L UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
L UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—