Main
Heavyweight
Walt Harris vs Serghei Spivac
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
·Canadian Tire Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Walt Harris
Serghei Spivac
21%
79%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
36
Age
Δ 12y
24
W1
Current streak
—
11
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Harris: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Spivac: 1 sig / 0 TD
Walt Harris
Serghei Spivac
21
Sig strikes landed
34
46
Sig strikes attempted
61
31
Total strikes landed
42
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
67s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Walt Harris
"The Big Ticket"
13-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 4-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
L
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
Serghei Spivac
"Polar Bear"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24