Back to UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Main Bantamweight

Brad Katona vs Merab Dvalishvili

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy ·Canadian Tire Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Brad Katona
Merab Dvalishvili
45% 55%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
17-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
22-5
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Katona: 32 sig / 0 TD · Dvalishvili: 55 sig / 5 TD
Brad Katona
Merab Dvalishvili
61
Sig strikes landed
57
125
Sig strikes attempted
141
86
Total strikes landed
100
1.3
Takedowns landed
3.7
5.4
Takedowns attempted
9.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
130s
Control time
247s
Method
Decision
86%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
4%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Brad Katona

"Superman"
17-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
Blue corner
W1

Merab Dvalishvili

"The Machine"
22-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—