Main
Middleweight
Marc-Andre Barriault vs Andrew Sanchez
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
·Canadian Tire Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Marc-Andre Barriault
Andrew Sanchez
61%
39%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barriault: 69 sig / 0 TD ·
Sanchez: 72 sig / 2 TD
Marc-Andre Barriault
Andrew Sanchez
50
Sig strikes landed
49
105
Sig strikes attempted
103
62
Total strikes landed
73
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
76s
Control time
230s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
W1
Andrew Sanchez
"El Dirte"
14-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
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