Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Macy Chiasson vs Sarah Moras
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
·Canadian Tire Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Macy Chiasson
Sarah Moras
82%
18%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
67"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
12-6
Career record
Δ 27 pp
6-9
W2
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Chiasson: 43 sig / 0 TD ·
Moras: 9 sig / 1 TD
Macy Chiasson
Sarah Moras
33
Sig strikes landed
15
66
Sig strikes attempted
35
61
Total strikes landed
28
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
-0.10
175s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Macy Chiasson
12-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
L2
Sarah Moras
"Cheesecake"
6-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—