Back to UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Aiemann Zahabi vs Vince Morales

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy ·Canadian Tire Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Aiemann Zahabi
Vince Morales
69% 31%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
32
Age
Δ 3y
28
14-3
Career record
Δ 25 pp
16-12
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zahabi: 28 sig / 1 TD · Morales: 59 sig / 0 TD
Aiemann Zahabi
Vince Morales
63
Sig strikes landed
53
150
Sig strikes attempted
131
69
Total strikes landed
60
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
75s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Aiemann Zahabi

"Icemann"
14-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
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Blue corner
L1

Vince Morales

"Vandetta"
16-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
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