Prelims1
Heavyweight
Arjan Bhullar vs Juan Adams
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
·Canadian Tire Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Arjan Bhullar
Juan Adams
52%
48%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
80"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
10-1
Career record
Δ 24 pp
6-3
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bhullar: 41 sig / 2 TD ·
Adams: 81 sig / 0 TD
Arjan Bhullar
Juan Adams
31
Sig strikes landed
30
55
Sig strikes attempted
61
59
Total strikes landed
56
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.1
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
209s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Arjan Bhullar
10-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Juan Adams
"The Kraken"
6-3
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—