Back to UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Prelims1 Lightweight

Gilbert Burns vs Mike Davis

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson ·BB&T Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Gilbert Burns
Mike Davis
54% 46%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
W1
Current streak
—
10
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Burns: 49 sig / 3 TD · Davis: 13 sig / 0 TD
Gilbert Burns
Mike Davis
35
Sig strikes landed
37
77
Sig strikes attempted
78
50
Total strikes landed
53
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
161s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Gilbert Burns

"Durinho"
23-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
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L UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
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W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
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Blue corner

Mike Davis

"Beast Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27