Back to UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Angela Hill vs Jodie Esquibel

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson ·BB&T Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Angela Hill
Jodie Esquibel
61% 39%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
19-17
Career record
Δ 7 pp
6-7
L2
Current streak
L2
9
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hill: 117 sig / 0 TD · Esquibel: 57 sig / 0 TD
Angela Hill
Jodie Esquibel
88
Sig strikes landed
70
168
Sig strikes attempted
194
105
Total strikes landed
72
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
-0.10
88s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Angela Hill

"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
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L UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
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W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
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L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
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Blue corner
L2

Jodie Esquibel

6-7
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
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