Back to UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Prelims2 Welterweight

Court McGee vs Dhiego Lima

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson ·BB&T Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Court McGee
Dhiego Lima
55% 45%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
24-14
Career record
Δ 4 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W1
14
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
McGee: 65 sig / 0 TD · Lima: 65 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Dhiego Lima
51
Sig strikes landed
47
125
Sig strikes attempted
108
72
Total strikes landed
53
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
212s
Control time
45s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Court McGee

"The Crusher"
24-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
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L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
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L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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L UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
Blue corner
W1

Dhiego Lima

18-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 7 fights · 2-5
Last 5
W UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—