Main
Light Heavyweight
Glover Teixeira vs Ion Cutelaba
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
·BB&T Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Glover Teixeira
Ion Cutelaba
72%
28%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
40
Age
Δ 14y
25
34-9
Career record
Δ 15 pp
21-11-1
W1
Current streak
W2
16
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Teixeira: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Cutelaba: 74 sig / 0 TD
Glover Teixeira
Ion Cutelaba
46
Sig strikes landed
45
87
Sig strikes attempted
105
49
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
122s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Glover Teixeira
34-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
Blue corner
W2
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
21-11-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—