Main
Bantamweight
John Lineker vs Cory Sandhagen
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
·BB&T Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Lineker
Cory Sandhagen
72%
28%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
32-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-6
W2
Current streak
W3
15
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Lineker: 106 sig / 1 TD ·
Sandhagen: 120 sig / 2 TD
John Lineker
Cory Sandhagen
69
Sig strikes landed
67
162
Sig strikes attempted
162
80
Total strikes landed
78
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
71s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
32-9
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
15 fights · 12-3
Last 5
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
Blue corner
W3
Cory Sandhagen
19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—