Back to UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Prelims1 Featherweight

Movsar Evloev vs SeungWoo Choi

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik ·Yubileyny Sports Palace
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Movsar Evloev
SeungWoo Choi
88% 12%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
25
Age
Δ 1y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Evloev: 50 sig / 5 TD · Choi: 26 sig / 0 TD
Movsar Evloev
SeungWoo Choi
40
Sig strikes landed
32
73
Sig strikes attempted
76
86
Total strikes landed
43
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.2
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
222s
Control time
57s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Movsar Evloev

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner

SeungWoo Choi

"Sting"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27