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Main Middleweight

Krzysztof Jotko vs Alen Amedovski

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik ·Yubileyny Sports Palace
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Krzysztof Jotko
Alen Amedovski
86% 14%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
L3
Current streak
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10
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jotko: 43 sig / 4 TD · Amedovski: 6 sig / 0 TD
Krzysztof Jotko
Alen Amedovski
43
Sig strikes landed
29
90
Sig strikes attempted
63
65
Total strikes landed
45
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
197s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Krzysztof Jotko

24-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
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L UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
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L UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
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W UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
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W UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
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Blue corner

Alen Amedovski

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31