Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
·Yubileyny Sports Palace
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Michal Oleksiejczuk
38%
62%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
20-9
Career record
Δ 3 pp
23-9
L1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Antigulov: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Oleksiejczuk: 8 sig / 0 TD
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Michal Oleksiejczuk
8
Sig strikes landed
19
16
Sig strikes attempted
50
18
Total strikes landed
23
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.8
Takedowns attempted
-0.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
116s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
10%
KO/TKO
74%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
20-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
Blue corner
W1
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
23-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—