Back to UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik ·Yubileyny Sports Palace
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Michal Oleksiejczuk
38% 62%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
20-9
Career record
Δ 3 pp
23-9
L1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Antigulov: 6 sig / 0 TD · Oleksiejczuk: 8 sig / 0 TD
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Michal Oleksiejczuk
8
Sig strikes landed
19
16
Sig strikes attempted
50
18
Total strikes landed
23
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.8
Takedowns attempted
-0.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
116s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
10%
KO/TKO
74%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

20-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
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W UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
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W UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
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Blue corner
W1

Michal Oleksiejczuk

"Hussar"
23-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database 2 fights · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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