Prelims1
Lightweight
Alexander Yakovlev vs Alex Da Silva
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
·Yubileyny Sports Palace
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexander Yakovlev
Alex Da Silva
31%
69%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
35
Age
Δ 12y
23
L2
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Yakovlev: 14 sig / 1 TD ·
Da Silva: 8 sig / 1 TD
Alexander Yakovlev
Alex Da Silva
22
Sig strikes landed
35
53
Sig strikes attempted
61
31
Total strikes landed
53
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
64s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Alexander Yakovlev
"Russian Thunder"
24-11-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
Blue corner
Alex Da Silva
"Leko"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23