Main
Light Heavyweight
Ovince Saint Preux vs Nikita Krylov
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
·State Farm Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ovince Saint Preux
Nikita Krylov
21%
79%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
36
Age
Δ 9y
27
27-19
Career record
Δ 13 pp
31-12
L1
Current streak
L2
18
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Saint Preux: 4 sig / 3 TD ·
Krylov: 27 sig / 1 TD
Ovince Saint Preux
Nikita Krylov
24
Sig strikes landed
35
48
Sig strikes attempted
62
37
Total strikes landed
50
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
130s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ovince Saint Preux
27-19
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
18 fights · 11-7
Last 5
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
Blue corner
L2
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
L
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—