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Prelims2 Bantamweight

Ray Borg vs Casey Kenney

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje ·Xfinity Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Ray Borg
Casey Kenney
46% 54%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 5"
68"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
L1
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Borg: 17 sig / 7 TD · Kenney: 32 sig / 2 TD
Ray Borg
Casey Kenney
23
Sig strikes landed
29
47
Sig strikes attempted
52
47
Total strikes landed
45
3.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
7.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
358s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ray Borg

"The Tazmexican Devil"
13-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
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W UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
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L UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
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Blue corner

Casey Kenney

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28