Back to UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Prelims2 Women's Flyweight

Sabina Mazo vs Maryna Moroz

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje ·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Sabina Mazo
Maryna Moroz
64% 36%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
22
Age
Δ 6y
28
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mazo: 64 sig / 0 TD · Moroz: 56 sig / 1 TD
Sabina Mazo
Maryna Moroz
49
Sig strikes landed
45
120
Sig strikes attempted
114
75
Total strikes landed
67
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
124s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sabina Mazo

"Colombian Queen"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
Blue corner
L2

Maryna Moroz

"Iron Lady"
11-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—
W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—