Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Sabina Mazo vs Maryna Moroz
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Sabina Mazo
Maryna Moroz
64%
36%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
22
Age
Δ 6y
28
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mazo: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Moroz: 56 sig / 1 TD
Sabina Mazo
Maryna Moroz
49
Sig strikes landed
45
120
Sig strikes attempted
114
75
Total strikes landed
67
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
124s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Sabina Mazo
"Colombian Queen"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
Blue corner
L2
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
11-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
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L
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