Prelims1
Featherweight
Enrique Barzola vs Kevin Aguilar
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Enrique Barzola
Kevin Aguilar
55%
45%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
18-5-2
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-5
W4
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barzola: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Aguilar: 58 sig / 0 TD
Enrique Barzola
Kevin Aguilar
52
Sig strikes landed
62
127
Sig strikes attempted
144
72
Total strikes landed
72
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
9.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
208s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Enrique Barzola
"El Fuerte"
18-5-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
Blue corner
W1
Kevin Aguilar
"Angel of Death"
18-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—