Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Danny Henry
Dan Ige
57%
43%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
13-4
Career record
Δ 12 pp
20-11
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Henry: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Ige: 10 sig / 1 TD
Danny Henry
Dan Ige
42
Sig strikes landed
32
86
Sig strikes attempted
78
54
Total strikes landed
44
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.2
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Danny Henry
"The Hatchet"
13-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
Blue corner
W2
Dan Ige
"100K"
20-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—