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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Molly McCann vs Priscila Cachoeira

UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Molly McCann
Priscila Cachoeira
60% 40%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
14-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-9
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McCann: 107 sig / 2 TD · Cachoeira: 75 sig / 0 TD
Molly McCann
Priscila Cachoeira
41
Sig strikes landed
35
101
Sig strikes attempted
97
60
Total strikes landed
51
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
188s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Molly McCann

"Meatball"
14-9
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
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Blue corner
L1

Priscila Cachoeira

"Zombie Girl"
13-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
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