Prelims1
Featherweight
Arnold Allen vs Jordan Rinaldi
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Arnold Allen
Jordan Rinaldi
85%
15%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
25
Age
Δ 6y
32
22-4
Career record
Δ 16 pp
15-7
W4
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Allen: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Rinaldi: 30 sig / 0 TD
Arnold Allen
Jordan Rinaldi
31
Sig strikes landed
17
81
Sig strikes attempted
61
58
Total strikes landed
30
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.0
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
196s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
22-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jordan Rinaldi
"All Day"
15-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—