Main
Light Heavyweight
Volkan Oezdemir vs Dominick Reyes
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Dominick Reyes
60%
40%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
30
Age
Δ 0y
29
21-9
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-5
L2
Current streak
W4
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Oezdemir: 35 sig / 1 TD ·
Reyes: 44 sig / 0 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Dominick Reyes
35
Sig strikes landed
45
77
Sig strikes attempted
90
44
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
71s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
Blue corner
W4
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
17-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—