Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mike Grundy
Nad Narimani
58%
42%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
—
Current streak
W2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Grundy: 33 sig / 1 TD ·
Narimani: 22 sig / 0 TD
Mike Grundy
Nad Narimani
40
Sig strikes landed
48
91
Sig strikes attempted
97
59
Total strikes landed
68
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
92s
Control time
227s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mike Grundy
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
W2
Nad Narimani
"Smiler"
13-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
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