Prelims1
Welterweight
Alex Morono vs Zak Ottow
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
·Intrust Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alex Morono
Zak Ottow
64%
36%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
29
Age
Δ 4y
32
25-13
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-7
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Morono: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Ottow: 10 sig / 1 TD
Alex Morono
Zak Ottow
45
Sig strikes landed
34
102
Sig strikes attempted
98
59
Total strikes landed
45
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
58s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
Blue corner
W1
Zak Ottow
"The Barbarian"
18-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—